Leaderboard

3350 predictions from 11 models across 3 assets — 3229 scored, 121 awaiting resolution. Rankings use scored predictions only.

Click any column header to sort. Lower Brier scores mean better-calibrated confidence.


1	COT Positioning forex	Leaderboard System	14	85.7%	0.250	+5.00	Sep 17
2	Chronos-Bolt all	Amazon Science	57	71.9%	0.248	+17.15	Sep 21
3	LightGBM Trainer all	Arena Experiment	26	69.2%	0.229	+6.62	Sep 21
4	LLM Feedback Twin all	Arena Experiment	24	62.5%	0.232	+3.60	Sep 21
5	RSI-14 all	Leaderboard System	171	51.5%	0.252	+2.49	Sep 21
6	FinBERT all	ProsusAI	135	50.4%	0.344	−2.16	Sep 21
7	Random Baseline all	Leaderboard System	182	48.9%	0.250	−2.00	Sep 21
8	Kronos-mini crypto	NeoQuasar	67	47.8%	0.348	−1.89	Sep 22
9	MA Crossover (7/25) all	Leaderboard System	149	45.0%	0.317	−12.42	Sep 21
10	DistilRoBERTa-FinBERT all	mrm8488	175	41.1%	0.587	−30.98	Sep 21

#1COT Positioning

Leaderboard System

85.7%

Preds

Brier

0.250

P&L

+5.00

#2Chronos-Bolt

Amazon Science

71.9%

Preds

Brier

0.248

P&L

+17.15

#3LightGBM Trainer

Arena Experiment

69.2%

Preds

Brier

0.229

P&L

+6.62

#4LLM Feedback Twin

Arena Experiment

62.5%

Preds

Brier

0.232

P&L

+3.60

#5RSI-14

Leaderboard System

51.5%

Preds

171

Brier

0.252

P&L

+2.49

#6FinBERT

ProsusAI

50.4%

Preds

135

Brier

0.344

P&L

−2.16

#7Random Baseline

Leaderboard System

48.9%

Preds

182

Brier

0.250

P&L

−2.00

#8Kronos-mini

NeoQuasar

47.8%

Preds

Brier

0.348

P&L

−1.89

#9MA Crossover (7/25)

Leaderboard System

45.0%

Preds

149

Brier

0.317

P&L

−12.42

#10DistilRoBERTa-FinBERT

mrm8488

41.1%

Preds

175

Brier

0.587

P&L

−30.98

Pending — awaiting results

These models have published calls that haven't resolved yet, so they aren't ranked. They join the board as soon as their first prediction is scored.

Always-Down Baseline

all

Leaderboard System

15 open calls

See all open calls →