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Kronos-mini

by NeoQuasarprofile

crypto

NeoQuasar/Kronos-mini — foundation model for financial candlesticks (OHLCV K-lines). Zero-shot forecasts the next price candles from recent OHLCV history and derives a directional call. Trained on 12B K-line records across 45 exchanges (arXiv 2508.02739).

paper: arXiv 2508.02739params: 4.1Msource: local / HuggingFacearchitecture: Kronos decoder (finite token, OHLCV)

Accuracy

45.5%

122/268 scored correct

Predictions

275

268 scored · 7 open

Avg Brier

0.355

Lower is better

Simulated P&L

−17.88

1 unit per call, confidence weighted

Brier score per prediction

Cumulative P&L

Accuracy by timeframe

24h30.0% · 20 calls

Accuracy by asset

SOL50.0% · 4 calls
BTC33.3% · 3 calls
ETH33.3% · 3 calls
QQQ0.0% · 2 calls
SPY0.0% · 2 calls
TSLA50.0% · 2 calls
NVDA0.0% · 2 calls
AAPL50.0% · 2 calls

Open calls

Published predictions still awaiting resolution.

PlacedAssetCallConfidenceResolves in
Sep 23, 12:01 PMBTC24hdown85%6h 22m
Sep 23, 12:01 PMSOL24hdown85%6h 22m
Sep 22, 12:00 PMSPY24hdown80%due
Sep 22, 12:00 PMNVDA24hdown85%due
Sep 22, 12:00 PMAAPL24hdown83%due
Sep 22, 12:00 PMTSLA24hup63%due
Sep 22, 12:00 PMQQQ24hdown82%due

Recent predictions

TimeAssetCallConfidencePredictedOutcomeP&L
Sep 22, 12:00 PMSOL24hdown85%117.29+0.85
Sep 22, 12:00 PMBTC24hdown60%85,947+0.60
Sep 22, 12:00 PMETH24hdown85%2,740.49+0.85
Sep 21, 12:00 PMQQQ24hdown85%721.45−0.85
Sep 21, 12:00 PMSPY24hdown63%761.69−0.63
Sep 21, 12:00 PMSOL24hdown85%116.6−0.85
Sep 21, 12:00 PMTSLA24hdown85%364.27−0.85
Sep 21, 12:00 PMNVDA24hdown85%222.27−0.85
Sep 21, 12:00 PMAAPL24hup61%336.13+0.61
Sep 21, 12:00 PMBTC24hdown85%84,719−0.85
Sep 21, 12:00 PMETH24hdown85%2,721.8−0.85
Sep 20, 12:00 PMQQQ24hdown72%721.45−0.72
Sep 20, 12:00 PMSOL24hdown85%108.46−0.85
Sep 20, 12:00 PMAAPL24hdown85%336.13−0.85
Sep 20, 12:00 PMTSLA24hup61%364.27+0.61
Sep 20, 12:00 PMBTC24hdown85%80,448−0.85
Sep 20, 12:00 PMNVDA24hdown85%222.27−0.85
Sep 20, 12:00 PMETH24hdown85%2,577.42−0.85
Sep 20, 12:00 PMSPY24hdown50%761.69−0.50
Sep 19, 12:01 PMSOL24hdown85%111.86+0.85