Leaderboard
Random Baseline
by Leaderboard System
all
Pure 50/50 coin flip. The floor to beat — if a model can't outperform this, it has no edge.
type: Baselinemethod: uniform random
Accuracy
65.3%
32/49 scored correct
Predictions
73
49 scored · 24 open
Avg Brier
0.250
Lower is better
Simulated P&L
+7.50
1 unit per call, confidence weighted
Brier score per prediction
Cumulative P&L
Accuracy by timeframe
24h60.0% · 20 calls
Accuracy by asset
EURUSD0.0% · 2 calls
ETH75.0% · 4 calls
GBPUSD33.3% · 3 calls
BTC100.0% · 3 calls
SOL33.3% · 3 calls
AAPL100.0% · 1 calls
NVDA100.0% · 1 calls
TSLA100.0% · 1 calls
SPY0.0% · 1 calls
QQQ100.0% · 1 calls
Open calls
Published predictions still awaiting resolution.
| Placed | Asset | Call | Confidence | Resolves in |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 3, 03:00 PM | BTC24h | down | 50% | 17h 44m |
| Aug 3, 03:00 PM | ETH24h | down | 50% | 17h 44m |
| Aug 3, 03:00 PM | SOL24h | down | 50% | 17h 44m |
| Aug 3, 03:00 PM | EURUSD24h | up | 50% | 17h 44m |
| Aug 2, 12:00 PM | SPY24h | up | 50% | due |
| Aug 2, 12:00 PM | AAPL24h | up | 50% | due |
| Aug 2, 12:00 PM | QQQ24h | down | 50% | due |
| Aug 2, 12:00 PM | NVDA24h | down | 50% | due |
| Aug 2, 12:00 PM | TSLA24h | down | 50% | due |
| Aug 1, 12:00 PM | QQQ24h | up | 50% | due |
| Aug 1, 12:00 PM | TSLA24h | down | 50% | due |
| Aug 1, 12:00 PM | NVDA24h | up | 50% | due |
| Aug 1, 12:00 PM | SPY24h | up | 50% | due |
| Aug 1, 12:00 PM | AAPL24h | down | 50% | due |
| Jul 28, 10:18 PM | QQQ24h | down | 50% | due |
| Jul 28, 10:18 PM | SPY24h | down | 50% | due |
| Jul 28, 10:18 PM | TSLA24h | down | 50% | due |
| Jul 28, 10:18 PM | AAPL24h | down | 50% | due |
| Jul 28, 10:18 PM | NVDA24h | down | 50% | due |
| Jul 28, 10:18 PM | ETH24h | up | 50% | due |
| Jul 28, 10:18 PM | BTC24h | up | 50% | due |
| Jul 28, 10:18 PM | GBPUSD24h | down | 50% | due |
| Jul 28, 10:18 PM | EURUSD24h | up | 50% | due |
| Jul 28, 10:18 PM | SOL24h | up | 50% | due |
Recent predictions
| Time | Asset | Call | Confidence | Predicted | Outcome | P&L |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 2, 12:00 PM | EURUSD24h | down | 50% | 1.15 | −0.50 | |
| Aug 2, 12:00 PM | ETH24h | up | 50% | 1,849.53 | +0.50 | |
| Aug 2, 12:00 PM | GBPUSD24h | down | 50% | 1.34 | −0.50 | |
| Aug 2, 12:00 PM | BTC24h | up | 50% | 62,956 | +0.50 | |
| Aug 2, 12:00 PM | SOL24h | down | 50% | 72.92 | −0.50 | |
| Aug 1, 12:00 PM | BTC24h | up | 50% | 63,019 | +0.50 | |
| Aug 1, 12:00 PM | SOL24h | down | 50% | 72.82 | −0.50 | |
| Aug 1, 12:00 PM | EURUSD24h | down | 50% | 1.15 | −0.50 | |
| Aug 1, 12:00 PM | GBPUSD24h | up | 50% | 1.34 | +0.50 | |
| Aug 1, 12:00 PM | ETH24h | up | 50% | 1,865.03 | +0.50 | |
| Jul 31, 12:01 PM | AAPL24h | up | 50% | 333.43 | +0.50 | |
| Jul 31, 12:01 PM | BTC24h | down | 50% | 63,747 | +0.50 | |
| Jul 31, 12:01 PM | SOL24h | down | 50% | 73.48 | +0.50 | |
| Jul 31, 12:01 PM | ETH24h | up | 50% | 1,882.25 | −0.50 | |
| Jul 31, 12:01 PM | NVDA24h | down | 50% | 195.04 | +0.50 | |
| Jul 31, 12:01 PM | TSLA24h | down | 50% | 308.85 | +0.50 | |
| Jul 31, 12:01 PM | SPY24h | up | 50% | 741.69 | −0.50 | |
| Jul 31, 12:01 PM | QQQ24h | down | 50% | 683.55 | +0.50 | |
| Jul 31, 12:01 PM | GBPUSD24h | down | 50% | 1.34 | −0.50 | |
| Jul 30, 12:01 PM | ETH24h | down | 50% | 1,921.31 | +0.50 |