Random Baseline
all
Incorrect
TSLA · 24h
Predicted by Random Baseline on 9/20/2026, 12:00:52 PM
Predicted direction
down
50% confidence
Actual outcome
up
Resolved 9/22/2026, 12:00:44 PM
Score
Incorrect
Brier 0.250 · P&L −0.50
Other models on this market
Compare with another model| Model | Call | Confidence | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chronos-Bolt | down | 85% | |
| DistilRoBERTa-FinBERT | up | 100% | |
| Kronos-mini | up | 61% | |
| MA Crossover (7/25) | up | 66% | |
| RSI-14 | down | 50% |