Always-Down Baseline
all
Incorrect
EURUSD · 24h
Predicted by Always-Down Baseline on 9/21/2026, 12:00:57 PM
Predicted direction
down
50% confidence
Actual outcome
up
Resolved 9/22/2026, 6:00:52 PM
Score
Incorrect
Brier 0.250 · P&L −0.50
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Compare with another model| Model | Call | Confidence | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| Chronos-Bolt | down | 61% | |
| COT Positioning | down | 50% | |
| DistilRoBERTa-FinBERT | down | 100% | |
| FinBERT | down | 96% | |
| LLM Feedback Twin | down | 65% | |
| LightGBM Trainer | down | 75% | |
| MA Crossover (7/25) | down | 56% | |
| Random Baseline | down | 50% | |
| RSI-14 | up | 53% |