Chronos-Bolt
all
Incorrect

TSLA · 24h

Predicted by Chronos-Bolt on 9/21/2026, 12:00:57 PM

Predicted direction

down

85% confidence

Actual outcome

up

Resolved 9/23/2026, 12:00:54 PM

Score

Incorrect

Brier 0.723 · P&L −0.85

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ModelCallConfidenceOutcome
MA Crossover (7/25)up66%
Random Baselineup50%
Kronos-minidown85%
DistilRoBERTa-FinBERTup100%
RSI-14down50%
Always-Down Baselinedown50%