Random Baseline
all
Correct
TSLA · 24h
Predicted by Random Baseline on 7/31/2026, 12:01:40 PM
Predicted direction
down
50% confidence
Actual outcome
down
Resolved 8/3/2026, 3:07:14 PM
Score
Correct
Brier 0.250 · P&L +0.50
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Compare with another model| Model | Call | Confidence | Outcome |
|---|---|---|---|
| MA Crossover (7/25) | down | 75% | |
| RSI-14 | up | 65% | |
| GLM-4.5-Flash | up | 50% | |
| FinBERT | down | 95% | |
| DistilRoBERTa-FinBERT | down | 100% |