Random Baseline
all
Incorrect
SPY · 24h
Predicted by Random Baseline on 7/31/2026, 12:01:40 PM
Predicted direction
up
50% confidence
Actual outcome
down
Resolved 8/3/2026, 3:07:14 PM
Score
Incorrect
Brier 0.250 · P&L −0.50
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|---|---|---|---|
| DistilRoBERTa-FinBERT | up | 100% | |
| RSI-14 | up | 50% | |
| FinBERT | up | 50% | |
| MA Crossover (7/25) | down | 57% | |
| GLM-4.5-Flash | up | 50% |